Processing Backlog, Meeting Summary, Best Practices

The USCIS Processing Time information from the California Service Center shows that as of 4/3/2013, the last I-526 processed had a filing date of 3/16/2012. The Case Status section of the USCIS website illustrates the dire backlog situation for Form I-526.
I526trend
Wow. 5,887 I-526 petitions pending. I’m so glad that I’m not an adjudicator. The trend line for I-829 looks more promising, though still reflecting a significant backlog.
I-829

Thank you to IIUSA for publicizing the processing backlog, as well as the pointing out the Executive Summary of 3/5/2013 CIS Ombudsman EB-5 Immigrant Investor Program Stakeholder Meeting. I also recommend IIUSA’s Comments to USCIS on the EB-5 Adjudications Memo, which give a good summary of the hot questions in EB-5.

Thank you also to Catherine Holmes, Victor Shum and Angelique Brunner for an excellent contribution to the effort to define best practices for Regional Centers. See the aricle Protecting the integrity of the EB-5 investment market through the adoption and use of due diligence best practices. So long as you’re on the Hotel Law blog, you may also want to check out their useful posts on SEC compliance, partnering with a Regional Center, and EB-5 investment in an existing business.

FY2012 EB-5 Petition and Visa Statistics

IIUSA has published the EB-5 processing statistics through Q42012 recently released by USCIS to AILA. The report shows that USCIS has been particularly busy with I-526 petitions, of which it received 6,041 and processed an impressive 4,634 in FY2012 (ending 9/30/2012). This year saw a record number of I-526 approvals and a record number of I-924 denials. The approval percentages for investor petitions fell slightly from FY2011, down to 79% for I-526 and 92% for I-829, while approvals for Regional Center applications and amendments tanked to an average 36%.



Source: USCIS

IIUSA has also published FY2012 EB-5 visa statistics released by the US Department of State. These numbers are significant because they show that EB-5 visas are, for the first time, threatening to exceed the annual allocation of about 10,000 visas. The State Department’s Visa Bulletin for December 2012 notes that “It appears likely that a cut-off date will need to be established for the China Employment Fifth preference category at some point during second half of fiscal year 2013. Such action would be delayed as long as possible, since while number use may be excessive over a 1 to 5 month period, it could average out to an acceptable level over a longer (e.g., 4 to 9 month) period. This would be the first time a cut-off date has been established in this category, which is why readers are being provided with the maximum amount of advance notice regarding the possibility.”



Source: IIUSA

IIUSA  has published an article on “THE IMPACT OF CHINESE QUOTA RETROGRESSION ON EB-5 INVESTORS AND EB-5 INVESTMENTS“ by Tammy Fox-Isicoff and H. Ronald Klasko.

I also recommend Kate Kalmykov’s blog post on Understanding the Implications of Retrogression in the EB-5 Category and her follow-up post EB-5 Retrogression for China Unlikely in 2013, According to Department of State.

Also note that the State Department website now has an informative EB-5 page.

EB-5 Visa Stats by Country

The U.S. Department of State website has finally published the Report of the Visa Office 2011. The data is old news by now, but I still enjoy looking at the table that details EB-5 visas and status adjustments by country and type of investment. Now we know that in all the world in FY2011, only one Chinese investor and up to four Dutch took advantage of a Regional Center offering at the $1 million level. During the same period, there were over three thousand visas/adjustments in connection with Regional Center TEA/$500,000  investments. Stand-alone (non-Regional Center) EB-5 investments included a relatively large percentage at the $1 million level, with 230 visas associated with investments outside of TEAs as compared with 152 visas associated with TEA/$500,000 investments. Props to the lone Australian who is the only person in all of Oceania to have gotten an EB-5 visa in FY2011, and who didn’t even add spouse/children to the visa count. The total number of EB-5 visas issued nearly doubled between 2010 and 2011 and is projected to nearly double again in 2012 according to a State Department estimate. The annual limit for EB-5 is approximately 10,000 visas (7.1% of the total 140,000 employment-based immigrant visas.) Changing the visa allocation would require an Act of Congress.

The following charts summarize data from the FY2010 and FY2011 reports from the State Department Visa Office as well as the preliminary data for FY2012 reported to AILA in July 2012.

EB-5 visas issued and adjustments of status, by region
FY 2012 as of 06/2012 FY 2011 FY 2010
Asia

4,220

3,035

1,358

Europe

211

289

North America

89

111

South America

82

81

45

Africa

46

58

Oceana

1

24

Grand Total

(Estimate for FY 2012: 6,200)

3,463

1,885

EB-5 visas issued and adjustments of status, by foreign state chargeability
Country FY 2011
China-mainland born

2,408

Korea, South

254

China-Taiwan born

122

Iran

117

Great Britain

57

Mexico

53

Venezuela

46

India

37

Russia

30

Vietnam

26

Canada

26

Netherlands

26

Japan

20

Turkey

20

South Africa

19

Italy

16

Brazil

16

Germany

15

Egypt

12

France

10

All other countries

133

Total

3,463

EB-5 Stats up to Q3 FY2012

USCIS has released EB-5 statistics through the third quarter of FY2012 in advance of  the 7/26 EB-5 Stakeholder Engagement teleconference. Please read the linked document for all the details. A few points of interest to me:

  • Approval rates for I-526 and I-829 have remained fairly high in FY2012 though slightly below the 2011 average (79% approval percentage for I-526 compared to 81% last year, and 94% for I-924 compared to 96% last year)
  • USCIS received 69% fewer I-829 in the first three quarters of 2012 than in the first three quarters of FY2011
  • USCIS received (and also processed) 38% more I-526 in Q1-3 2012 than it did in the first three quarters of FY2011
  • 60% of the I-924 Regional Center applications and amendments processed in Q1-Q3 2012 were denied
  • There are currently 209 approved Regional Centers, up from 174 in FY11, 114 in FY10, 72 in FY09, 25 in FY08, and 11 in FY07.

EB-5 Visa Stats as of 03/2012

The State Department Visa Office has still not released its report for 2011 (and about time, too, since its FY2011 ended last September), but IIUSA has obtained a report on EB-5 visa usage up to 03/2012. IIUSA thoughtfully provides charts that illustrate the increase in visa usage by year and track trends by country. I’m interested to note that Iran and Venezuela have moved into the top five countries by visa usage, and that Chinese nationals continue to dominate the list (accounting for nearly 70% of EB-5 visas issued in 2011 and 2012 to date).

FY12 Q1 EB-5 Statistics

USCIS has released new statistics as part of the presentation for the 1/23 EB-5 Stakeholder Meeting. This data shows us that USCIS has generally liked what it’s seen in I-526 and especially I-829 filings, and has found a lot not to like in recent Regional Center applications and amendments.

Form I-924 (& Pre-I-924) Regional Center Initial Applications

Fiscal Year or Quarter 

Receipts

Approvals

Denials

FY12 Q1

41

14

22

FY11

192

80

51

FY10

110

36

30

  • Note: There are currently 194 approved Regional Centers (RCs), operating in 40 states, including the District of Columbia and Guam. A complete list of approved RCs is also available online at http://www.uscis.gov/eb-5centers

Form I-924 (& Pre-I-924) Regional Center Amendment Requests

Fiscal Year or Quarter 

Receipts

Approvals

Denials

FY12 Q1

17

4

3

FY11

86

43

7

FY10

42

42

11

Form I-526 Petition Final Actions

Fiscal Year and/or Quarter

Form I-526 Approvals

Final Action %

Form I-526 Denials

Final Action %

FY12 Q1

1,076

83%

222

17%

FY11

1,563

81%

371

19%

FY10

1,369

89%

165

11%

FY09

1,262

86%

207

14%

FY08

640

84%

120

16%

FY07

473

76%

148

24%

FY06

336

73%

124

27%

FY05

179

53%

156

47%

  • Note: Approximately 92% of the individual Form I-526 petitions filed each year are filed by Investors who are investing in RC-affiliated commercial enterprises.

Form I-829 Petition Final Actions

Fiscal Year and/or Quarter

Form I-829 Approvals

Final Action %

Form I-829 Denials

Final Action %

FY12 Q1

144

93%

11

7%

FY11

1,067

96%

46

4%

FY10

274

83%

56

17%

FY09

347

86%

56

14%

FY08

159

70%

68

30%

FY07

111

69%

49

31%

FY06

106

64%

59

36%

FY05

184

62%

112

38%

EB-5 Visa Usage

Fiscal Year 

Total EB-5 Visas Issued 

FY12 YTD*

2,364

FY11

3,463

FY10

1,885

FY09

4,218

FY08

1,360

FY07

806

FY06

744

FY05

158

*Estimate of FY12 Visas Issued YTD, reported by the Department of State as of 01/17/2012.

  • Note: This includes visas issued to the investor and dependents. Historically an average of 2.5 visas are issued per principle applicant.

FY 2011 EB-5 Statistics

Here are EB-5 statistics reported in the 9/15/2011 EB-5 Stakeholder’s Meeting Presentation.

Current Regional Center Stats as of 9/15/2011

# of Active Regional Centers 173
# of Pending Initial RC Proposals
# of Pending RC Amendments

Stats on Initial Regional Center Proposal Filings

FY 2010

(Oct 2009 – Sept 2010)

FY 2011 Q1 – Q3

(Oct 2010 – Sept 2011)

# of Initial RC Proposal Filings

110

176
# of Amended RC Proposal Filings 42 73
% of Initial RC Proposals Denied 45% 33%
% of RC Amendments Denied 29% 16%

Statistics I-526 and I-829 Petitions

(Recall that petitions are not necessarily adjudicated in the year in which they are received)

# of I-526 Received # of I-526 Approvals % of I-526 Approved
FY11 Q1 – Q3 2608 999 82%
FY10 1955 1369 89%
FY09 1028 1262 86%
FY08 1257 640 84%
FY07 776 473 76%
FY06 486 336 73%
FY05 332 179 53%
# of I-829 Received # of I-829 Approvals % of I-829 Approved
FY11 Q1 – Q3 1753 426 93%
FY10 768 274 83%
FY09 437 347 86%
FY08 390 159 70%
FY07 194 111 69%
FY06 89 106 64%
FY05 37 184 62%

EB-5 Visa Statistics

Total EB-5 Visas Issued
FY11 Q1 – Q3 3,706*
FY10 1,885
FY09 4,218
FY08 1,360
FY07 806
FY06 744

* preliminary estimate

Note that USCIS did not this time provide numbers for pending applications, and also didn’t report estimated processing times. They are currently revising the formula for calculating processing times (the previous formula estimated time to an adjudicator’s desk, not time to completion). The next CSC processing times report should include the more realistic estimates.

FY 2011 Q1&Q2 EB-5 Statistics

Here are EB-5 statistics reported in the 6/30/2011 EB-5 Stakeholder’s Meeting Presentation.

Current Regional Center Stats as of 6/30/2011

# of Active Regional Centers 147
# of Pending Initial RC Proposals 83
# of Pending RC Amendments 9

Stats on Initial Regional Center Proposal Filings

FY 2010

(Oct 2009 – Sept 2010)

FY 2011 Q1 & Q2

(Oct 2010 – Mar 2011)

# of Initial RC Proposal Filings

110

146
# of Amended RC Proposal Filings 42 55
% of Initial RC Proposals Denied 45% 31%
% of RC Amendments Denied 29% 22%

Statistics I-526 and I-829 Petitions

(Recall that petitions are not necessarily adjudicated in the year in which they are received!)

# of I-526 Received # of I-526 Approvals % of I-526 Approved
FY11 Q1 & Q2 1601 407 81%
FY10 1955 1369 89%
FY09 1028 1262 86%
FY08 1257 640 84%
FY07 776 473 76%
FY06 486 336 73%
FY05 332 179 53%
# of I-829 Received # of I-829 Approvals % of I-829 Approved
FY11 Q1 & Q2 1150 166 86%
FY10 768 274 83%
FY09 437 347 86%
FY08 390 159 70%
FY07 194 111 69%
FY06 89 106 64%
FY05 37 184 62%

USCIS noted that it is still working on a system to distinguish RC from stand-alone filings and that an estimated 90-95% of I-526 petitions are currently associated with Regional Centers.

EB-5 Visa Statistics

Total EB-5 Visas Issued
FY11 Q1 & Q2 2,129*
FY10 1,885
FY09 4,218
FY08 1,360
FY07 806
FY06 744

* preliminary estimate

FY 2011 Q1 EB-5 Statistics

Here are interesting EB-5 statistics presented at the 3/17/2011 EB-5 Stakeholder’s Meeting at the USCIS California Service Center.

Current Regional Center Stats as of 3/17/2011

# of Active Regional Centers 125
# of Pending Initial RC Proposals 156
# of Pending RC Amendments 34

Stats  on Initial Regional Center Proposal Filings

FY 2010
(Oct 2009 – Sept 2010)

FY 2011 Q1
(Oct – Dec 2010)

# of Initial RC Proposal Filings

110

116
# of Amended RC Proposal Filings 42 24
% of Initial RC Proposals Denied 45% 24%
% of RC Amendments Denied 29% 22%

Statistics I-526 and I-829 Petitions

(Recall that petitions are not necessarily adjudicated in the year in which they are received!)

# of I-526 Received # of I-526 Approvals % of I-526 Approved
FY11 Q1 701 190 77%
FY10 1955 1369 89%
FY09 1028 1262 86%
FY08 1257 640 84%
FY07 776 473 76%
FY06 486 336 73%
FY05 332 179 53%
# of I-829 Received # of I-829 Approvals % of I-829 Approved
FY11 Q1 531 39 75%
FY10 768 274 83%
FY09 437 347 86%
FY08 390 159 70%
FY07 194 111 69%
FY06 89 106 64%
FY05 37 184 62%

USCIS noted that it is still working on a system to distinguish RC from stand-alone filings and that an estimated 90-95%  of I-526 petitions are currently associated with Regional Centers.

EB-5 Visa Statistics

Total EB-5 Visas Issued
FY11 Q1 1,421
FY10 1,885
FY09 4,218
FY08 1,360
FY07 806
FY06 744

The presentation notes: “USCIS interprets the set aside of visas to ensure that a minimum of 3,000 visas are available for regional center based applicants. We do not see the set aside as limiting the number of visas that can be granted to regional center based applicants, to the extent that such applicants can be allocated up to 10,000 visas, along with the non-regional center based applicants.”

EB-5 Visa Usage by Country 2010

The U.S. Department of State has published their final visa usage statistics for FY2010. A total of 1,885 EB-5 visas were issued, with the following countries making up the Top 10:

  1. People’s Republic of China (772 or 40.9%)
  2. Republic of South Korea (295 or 15.6%)
  3. Great Britain/Northern Ireland (135 or 7.1%)
  4. Taiwan (94 or 5.0%)
  5. India (62 or 3.3%)
  6. Iran (55 or 2.9%)
  7. Mexico (50 or 2.6%)
  8. Canada (45 or 2.4%)
  9. Russia (41 or 2.2%)
  10. South Africa (34 or 1.8%)

Thanks to Peter Joseph at the IIUSA blog for tabulating these stats from the State Department’s master list. Several points of comparison with visa usage statistics from FY2009:

  • The top four countries by visa usage are the same as in 2009.
  • Iran and South Africa have moved into the top ten, and Mexico has moved up in the list, while Japan and the Netherlands dropped out.
  • USCIS issued 55% more EB-5 visas (4,218) in FY 2009 than in FY2010. According to investigation by IIUSA, this 2009 spike occurred because USCIS expedited EB-5 visa processing in advance of the 2009 program sunset date.
  • Although EB-5 visa issuance was down in 2010, the number of I-526 petitions filed in 2010 increased by 90% compared to the previous year.
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